BEST PICTURE
“Ford v Ferrari”
“The Irishman”
“Jojo Rabbit”
“Joker”
“Little Women”
“Marriage Story”
“1917″
“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
“Parasite”
Winner: “1917″
Could win: “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
DIRECTOR
Martin Scorsese, “The Irishman”
Todd Phillips, “Joker”
Sam Mendes, “1917″
Quentin Tarantino, “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
Bong Joon Ho, “Parasite”
Could win: Tarantino or Bong
Antonio Banderas, “Pain and Glory”
Leonardo DiCaprio, “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
Adam Driver, “Marriage Story”
Joaquin Phoenix, “Joker”
Jonathan Pryce, “The Two Popes”
No surprises or snubs in this category will occur, this category is a secure lock. The biggest surprise will be Phoenix’s acceptance speech, which will more than likely be about social issues, injustices, and environmental concerns. His speeches have been very humble and graceful this awards season, it is obvious he will make his Oscar speech a very memorable one.
LEAD ACTRESS
Cynthia Erivo, “Harriet”
Scarlett Johansson, “Marriage Story”
Saoirse Ronan, “Little Women”
Charlize Theron, “Bombshell”
Renée Zellweger, “Judy”
Winner: Renee Zellweger, Judy
Like Phoenix, this is a lock with no upsets in site. No actresses in this category even pose a threat at this point. Renee Zellweger has won the Golden Globe, the SAG, and numerous other award circle groups. It also continues the Oscar formula of actors transforming themselves into real people in biopics.
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Tom Hanks, “A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood”
Anthony Hopkins, “The Two Popes”
Al Pacino, “The Irishman”
Joe Pesci, “The Irishman”
Brad Pitt, “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
Winner: Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Laura Dern, “Marriage Story”
Scarlett Johansson, “Jojo Rabbit”
Florence Pugh, “Little Women”
Margot Robbie, “Bombshell”
CINEMATOGRAPHY
“The Irishman,” Rodrigo Prieto
“Joker,” Lawrence Sher
“The Lighthouse,” Jarin Blaschke
“1917,” Roger Deakins
“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Robert Richardson
Winner: Roger Deakins, 1917
ANIMATED FEATURE
“How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World”
“I Lost My Body”
“Klaus”
“Missing Link”
“Toy Story 4″
Winner: “Toy Story 4″
Could win: “Klaus”
Netflix’s animated Christmas film, “Klaus,” won the top prize at the BAFTAs and the Annie Awards, which are industry events for animators. However, history proves that the Oscar voters reward the bigger studio movies here, and the voters often prefer the big Pixar films, indicating “Toy Story 4” will be the triumphant winner in what should be the final installment for “Toy Story”.
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
“American Factory”
“The Cave”
“The Edge of Democracy”
“For Sama”
“Honeyland”
Winner: “Honeyland”
Could win: “American Factory”
“American Factory,” the first film released by Barack and Michelle Obama’s production company appears to be everyone’s front-runner at this point, out of all the nominees it the most widely seen and it taps into upcoming election topics and the Obama’s are loved by the entertainment industry. “Honeyland,”, though, on the other hand was also nominated here and in the international feature category, and is the far more engaging documentary framework.
INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
“Corpus Christi”
“Honeyland”
“Les Misérables”
“Pain and Glory”
“Parasite”
Winner: “Parasite”
Just another victory lap for Bong Joon-ho, hopefully he will have another memorable moment as he did at the Golden Globes, in which he gave a speech on getting over subtitles and embracing foreign language movies.
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
“The Irishman,” Steven Zaillian
“Jojo Rabbit,” Taika Waititi
“Joker,” Todd Phillips, Scott Silver
“Little Women,” Greta Gerwig
“The Two Popes,” Anthony McCarten
Winner: “Little Women”
Could win: “JoJo Rabbit”
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
“Knives Out,” Rian Johnson
“Marriage Story,” Noah Baumbach
“1917,” Sam Mendes and Krysty Wilson-Cairns
“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Quentin Tarantino
“Parasite,” Bong Joon Ho, Han Jin Won
Just last week while I was on a podcast I predicted that Tarantino was going to win his third screenplay Oscar. But then, just as what happened to “Jojo Rabbit”, “Parasite” won the Writers Guild and the BAFTAS. With “Parasite” being so acclaimed by critics and universally loved by audiences, it feels like Bong, along with his co-writer Han Jin-won will be winning this category.
Winner: “Parasite”
Could win: “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
ORIGINAL SCORE
“Joker,” Hildur Guðnadóttir
“Little Women,” Alexandre Desplat
“Marriage Story,” Randy Newman
“1917,” Thomas Newman
“Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker,” John Williams
The Icelandic Guðnadóttir’s memorable score seems to the talk of the industry, she will also be the first female to win this category since 1998.
Winner: “Joker”
Could win: “1917″
FILM EDITING
“Ford v Ferrari,” Michael McCusker, Andrew Buckland
“The Irishman,” Thelma Schoonmaker
“Jojo Rabbit,” Tom Eagles
“Joker,” Jeff Groth
“Parasite,” Jinmo Yang
Winner: “Ford v Ferrari”
Could Win: “Parasite”
This is going to come down to two films, but the voters will go with the bigger industry move here. I’m going with “Ford v Ferrari,” it has the technical cuts going with the impressive car chase sequences that are the highlight of the movie.
ORIGINAL SONG
“I Can’t Let You Throw Yourself Away,” from “Toy Story 4″; music and lyric by Randy Newman
“(I’m Gonna) Love Me Again,” from “Rocketman”; music by Elton John, lyric by Bernie Taupin
“I’m Standing With You,” from “Breakthrough”; music and lyric by Diane Warren
“Into the Unknown,” from “Frozen 2”; music and lyric by Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez
“Stand Up,” from “Harriet”; music and lyric by Joshuah Brian Campbell and Cynthia Erivo
Winner: “Stand Up”
Could surprise: “(I’m Gonna) Love Me Again
It’s possible that John Elton can win 25 years after “The Lion King”, but the momentum is on Cynthia Erivo’s as she could join the EGOT winners-artists who have won an Emmy, Grammy, Oscar and Tony-and her great talent certainly shows.
COSTUME DESIGN
“The Irishman,” Sandy Powell, Christopher Peterson
“Jojo Rabbit,” Mayes C. Rubeo
“Joker,” Mark Bridges
“Little Women,” Jacqueline Durran
“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Arianne Phillips
Winner: “Little Women”
Could surprise: “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
19th century period film trumps the 60s counter-culture period film any day.
MAKEUP & HAIR STYLING
“Bombshell,” Kazu Hiro, Anne Morgan and Vivian Baker
“Joker,” Nicki Ledermann and Kay Georgiou
“Judy,” Jeremy Woodhead
“Maleficent: Mistress of Evil,” Paul Gooch, Arjen Tuiten and David White
“1917,” Naomi Donne, Tristan Versluis and Rebecca Cole
Winner: “Bombshell”
At times you thought it really was Megyn Kelly as Charlize Theron disguises herself in the astonishing makeup and hair effects.
PRODUCTION DESIGN
“The Irishman,” Bob Shaw and Regina Graves
“Jojo Rabbit,” Ra Vincent and Nora Sopková
“1917,” Dennis Gassner and Lee Sandales
“Once Upon a Time … in Hollywood,” Barbara Ling and Nancy Haigh
“Parasite,” Lee Ha Jun and Cho Won Woo
Winner: “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”
Could win: “1917″
“1917” can pose a threat with those trenches, but I still think the hometown look of 60s Tinseltown has the slight edge.
SOUND EDITING
“Ford v Ferrari,” Don Sylvester
“Joker,” Alan Robert Murray
“1917,” Oliver Tarney, Rachel Tate
“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Wylie Stateman
“Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker,” Matthew Wood, David Acord
Winner: “Ford v Ferrari”
Could win: “1917″
The sound category will come down to car races and war. Giving this one to the vroom-vroom here.
SOUND MIXING
“Ad Astra,” Gary Rydstrom, Tom Johnson and Mark Ulano
“Ford v Ferrari,” Paul Massey, David Giammarco and Steven A. Morrow
“Joker,” Tom Ozanich, Dean Zupancic and Tod Maitland
“1917,” Mark Taylor and Stuart Wilson
“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” Michael Minkler, Christian P. Minkler and Mark Ulano
Winner: “1917″
Could win: “Ford v Ferrari”
There is just a lot more chaotic sounds going on with the sound in this film.
VISUAL EFFECTS
“Avengers: Endgame,” Dan DeLeeuw, Russell Earl, Matt Aitken and Dan Sudick
“The Irishman,” Pablo Helman, Leandro Estebecorena, Nelson Sepulveda-Fauser and Stephane Grabli
“The Lion King,” Robert Legato, Adam Valdez, Andrew R. Jones and Elliot Newman
“Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker,” Roger Guyett, Neal Scanlan, Patrick Tubach and Dominic Tuohy
“1917,” Guillaume Rocheron, Greg Butler and Dominic Tuohy
Winner: “1917″
Could win: “Avengers: Endgame”
Going with “1917” since the Oscar voters love awarding the best picture winner the most Oscars that they can. It will be a technical night for “1917”, besides that plane scene is so vivid and harrowing.
ANIMATED SHORT
“Dcera (Daughter)”
“Hair Love”
“Kitbull”
“Memorable”
“Sister”
Winner: “Hair Love”
Could win: “Kitbull” or “Memorable”
“Hair Love,” the story of a father doing his best to style his young daughter’s natural hair while their mom is away, is very sincere and moving, though Pixar’s “Kitbull” has a powerful and essential message on animal abuse. It is going to come down to these two unless “Memorable” sneaks in.
DOCUMENTARY SHORT
“In the Absence”
“Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If You’re a Girl)”
“Life Overtakes Me”
“St. Louis Superman”
“Walk Run Cha-Cha”
Winner: “Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If You’re a Girl)”
Could win: “St. Louis Superman”
Winner: Smash the patriarchy seems to be what’s in style since this documentary short about a Kabul school teaching girls to skateboard and challenge the cultural norms just won the BAFTAs. This is a very essential documentary short since it’s about women fighting back against a system in which they become prisoners in their own country.
LIVE ACTION SHORT
“Brotherhood”
“Nefta Football Club”
“The Neighbors’ Window”
“Saria”
“A Sister”
Winner: “Brotherhood”
Could surprise: “The Neighbors’ Window”
A huge hit on the film festival circuit, a short film about a Tunisian family being ripped apart on their ideological divisions, is one of the most talked about and biggest award-winning short films of last year.
The Oscar Party will take place on February 9 at the Motion Picture Institute (MPI) Studios located at 2040 Crooks Rd. Suite B, Troy, MI 48084.
Tickets are going fast! Secure yours by Thursday (2/6) for the early bird price of $10. After that, online registration will close and tickets will be available at the door for $15.
Join the film community, moviegoers, MPI students and alumni for Hollywood’s biggest night–right here at the Motion Picture Institute.
– Dress up if you want to be in the Oscars spirit
– Prizes will be awarded throughout the night
– Special guests will host Facebook Live commercial breaks
– Free for current MPI students with discount codes.
– Film community, alumni, guests and fans of movies are all invited
for $10
– Snacks provided
For more information and tickets visit
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/oscar-party-at-mpi-tickets-89919891817
Looks very spot on! Hard to argue with a lot these predictions. Hoping Once Upon a Time gets a little more love personally in the awards section outside of just Pitt, who I believe is a shoe in.
Really enjoyed these predictions and agree…well written and most importantly…very Knowledgeable…Thankyou!
Just saw them, they’re close to mine except for a few switches in Could vs. Will win.
I have Hollywood and JoJo winning Screenplay
American Factory and Klaus winning
Rocketman for Song
Irishman for VFX
Also my pics for score and production design are Joker and once upon a Time in Hollywood respectively
Well deserved Robert Butler always professional and amazing at his work! One of the Best Director in Michigan
These are some great predictions definitely gonna have to watch the Oscars really looking to see how 1917 does
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