The Academy Awards will be televised a little earlier than they were last year, but it’s already set to be a failure after years of declining ratings, Twitter backlash from the Academy’s decision not to air certain categories, and a lack of interest even though everyone is always putting their input on how they feel about such an awards show that is labeled meaningless. For the last five years, the AMPAS has been making changes to the status quo to make it more inclusive and to honor films more based on art than popularity. After Green Book won the Oscar over Roma, it quickly felt like the AMPAs were back to their old habits, only for them to make corrections in the last few years by awarding Parasite and Nomadland. If The Power of the Dog walks away over Coda, the film will more than likely join the ranks of recenet Best Picture winners Moonlight, Nomadland, Parasite, and Birdman as being a respected Best Picture winner. If audience-favorite Coda gets the upset, it will more than likely be under scrutiny in years to come for being the unearned Best Picture winner. Tragically, around 8 categories will not be televised–and the most eagerly awaited category is Best Original Screenplay. Many are cheering for Paul Thomas Anderson to finally walk away with his long overdue Oscar. However, Kenneth Branagh now appears to be the front-runner with his wins at the Golden Globes and P.T Anderson failed to get a clean sweep from the WGA’s. Perhaps P.T. Anderson can pull off an upset, but if he doesn’t, hopefully one day he will win for a later movie. Ratings will certainly be lower than the previous years, and the awards just don’t have the excitement or stock that they once had. No matter what happens, the great films will march on with or without awards. Here are mine and Noah’s Oscar predictions for a declining ceremony down below.
Best Picture
Belfast
CODA
Don’t Look Up
Drive My Car
Dune
King Richard
Licorice Pizza
Nightmare Alley
The Power of the Dog
West Side Story
Robert Butler and Noah Damron’s predicted winner: The Power of the Dog
Could win: Coda or Belfast
Kenneth Branagh (Belfast)
Jane Campion (The Power of the Dog)
Ryûsuke Hamaguchi (Drive My Car)
Steven Spielberg (West Side Story)
BEST ACTRESS
Jessica Chastain (The Eyes of Tammy Faye)
Olivia Colman (The Lost Daughter)
Penélope Cruz (Parallel Mothers)
Nicole Kidman (Being the Ricardos)
Kristen Stewart (Spencer)
Robert Butler and Noah Damron’s predicted winner: Jessica Chastain-The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Could win: Kristen Stewart-Spencer
BEST ACTOR
Javier Bardem (Being the Ricardos)
Benedict Cumberbatch (The Power of the Dog)
Andrew Garfield (Tick, Tick … Boom!)
Will Smith (King Richard)
Denzel Washington (The Tragedy of Macbeth)
Robert Butler and Noah Damron’s predicted winner: Will Smith–King Richard
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jessie Buckley (The Lost Daughter)
Ariana DeBose (West Side Story)
Judi Dench (Belfast)
Kirsten Dunst (The Power of the Dog)
Aunjanue Ellis (King Richard)
Robert Butler and Noah Darmon’s predicted winner: Ariana DeBose–West Side Story
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Ciarán Hinds (Belfast)
Troy Kotsur (CODA)
Jesse Plemons (The Power of the Dog)
J.K. Simmons (Being the Ricardos)
Kodi Smit-McPhee (The Power of the Dog)
Robert Butler and Noah Darmon’s predicted winner: Troy Kotsur-Coda
Could Win: Kodi Smit-McPhee-The Power of the Dog
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
CODA (screenplay by Siân Heder)
Drive My Car (screenplay by Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Takamasa
Oe)
Dune (screenplay by Jon Spaihts and Denis Villeneuve
and Eric Roth)
The Lost Daughter (written by Maggie Gyllenhaal)
The Power of the Dog (written by Jane Campion)
Noah Damron’s Predicted Winner: CODA
Robert Butler’s Predicted Winner: The Power of the Dog
Best Original Screenplay
Belfast (written by Kenneth Branagh)
Don’t Look Up (screenplay by Adam McKay; story by Adam McKay & David Sirota)
King Richard (written by Zach Baylin)
Licorice Pizza (written by Paul Thomas Anderson)
The Worst Person in the World (written by Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier)
Robert Butler and Noah Damron’s Predicted Winner: Belfast
Could win: Paul Thomas Anderson-Licorice Pizza or Adam McKay-Don’t Look Up
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Dune (Greig Fraser)
Nightmare Alley (Dan Laustsen)
The Power of the Dog (Ari Wegner)
The Tragedy of Macbeth (Bruno Delbonnel)
West Side Story (Janusz Kaminski)
Robert Butler’s Predicted Winner: The Power of the Dog (Ari Wegner)
Noah Damron’s Predicted Winner: Dune (Grig Fraser)
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Cruella (Jenny Beavan)
Cyrano (Massimo Cantini Parrini and Jacqueline Durran)
Dune (Jacqueline West and Robert Morgan)
Nightmare Alley (Luis Sequeira)
West Side Story (Paul Tazewell)
Robert Butler and Noah Damron’s Prediction: Cruella
BEST FILM EDITING
Don’t Look Up (Hank Corwin)
Dune (Joe Walker)
King Richard (Pamela Martin)
The Power of the Dog (Peter Sciberras)
Tick, Tick … Boom! (Myron Kerstein and Andrew Weisblum)
Noah Damron’s Prediction: Dune
Robert Butler’s {Prediction: The Power of the Dog
BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Coming 2 America (Mike Marino, Stacey Morris and Carla Farmer)
Cruella (Nadia Stacey, Naomi Donne and Julia Vernon)
Dune (Donald Mowat, Love Larson and Eva von Bahr)
The Eyes of Tammy Faye (Linda Dowds, Stephanie Ingram and Justin Raleigh)
House of Gucci (Göran Lundström, Anna Carin Lock and Frederic Aspiras)
Robert Butler and Noah Damron’s Predicted Winner: The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Best Production Design
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Dune (production design: Patrice Vermette; set decoration: Zsuzsanna Sipos)
Nightmare Alley (production design: Tamara Deverell; set decoration: Shane Vieau)
The Power of the Dog (production design: Grant Major; set decoration: Amber Richards)
The Tragedy of Macbeth (production design: Stefan Dechant; set decoration: Nancy Haigh)
West Side Story (production design: Adam Stockhausen; set decoration: Rena DeAngelo)
Robert Butler’s prediction: Nightmare Alley
Noah Damron’s Prediction: Dune
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Don’t Look Up (Nicholas Britell)
Dune (Hans Zimmer)
Encanto (Germaine Franco)
Parallel Mothers (Alberto Iglesias)
The Power of the Dog (Jonny Greenwood)
Robert Butler and Noah Damron’s predicted winner: Dune-Hans Zimmer
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
“Be Alive” — music and lyrics by DIXSON and Beyoncé Knowles-Carter (King Richard)
“Dos Oruguitas” — music and lyrics by Lin-Manuel Miranda (Encanto)
“Down to Joy” — music and lyrics by Van Morrison (Belfast)
“No Time to Die” — music and lyrics by Billie Eilish and Finneas
O’Connell (No Time to Die)
“Somehow You Do” — music and lyrics by Diane Warren (Four Good Days)
Robert Butler and Noah Damon’s Predicted Winner: No Time to Die
BEST SOUND
Belfast (Denise Yarde, Simon Chase, James Mather and Niv Adiri)
Dune (Mac Ruth, Mark Mangini, Theo Green, Doug Hemphill and Ron Bartlett)
No Time to Die (Simon Hayes, Oliver Tarney, James Harrison, Paul Massey and Mark Taylor)
The Power of the Dog (Richard Flynn, Robert Mackenzie and Tara Webb)
West Side Story (Tod A. Maitland, Gary Rydstrom, Brian Chumney, Andy Nelson and Shawn Murphy)
Robert Butler and Noah Damron’s Predicted Winner: Dune
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Dune (Paul Lambert, Tristan Myles, Brian Connor and
Gerd Nefzer)
Free Guy (Swen Gillberg, Bryan Grill, Nikos Kalaitzidis and
Dan Sudick)
No Time to Die (Charlie Noble, Joel Green, Jonathan Fawkner and Chris Corbould)
Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Christopher Townsend, Joe Farrell, Sean Noel Walker and Dan Oliver)
Spider-Man: No Way Home (Kelly Port, Chris Waegner, Scott Edelstein and Dan Sudick)
Robert Butler and Noah Damron’s Predicted Winner: Dune
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Encanto (Jared Bush, Byron Howard, Yvett Merino and Clark Spencer)
Flee (Jonas Poher Rasmussen, Monica Hellström, Signe Byrge Sørensen and Charlotte De La Gournerie)
Luca (Enrico Casarosa and Andrea Warren)
The Mitchells vs. the Machines (Mike Rianda, Phil Lord, Christopher Miller and Kurt Albrecht)
Raya and the Last Dragon (Don Hall, Carlos López Estrada, Osnat Shurer
and Peter Del Vecho)
Robert Butler’s Predicted Winner: Encanto
Noah Damron’s Predicted Winner: The Mitchells vs. the Machines
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Ascension (Jessica Kingdon, Kira Simon-Kennedy and Nathan Truesdell)
Attica (Stanley Nelson and Traci A. Curry)
Flee (Jonas Poher Rasmussen, Monica Hellström, Signe Byrge Sorensen and Charlotte De La Gournerie)
Summer of Soul (Ahmir “Questlove” Thompson, Joseph Patel, Robert Fyvolent and David Dinerstein)
Writing With Fire (Rintu Thomas and Sushmit Ghosh)
Robert Butler and Noah Damron’s Predicted Winner: Summer of Soul
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
Drive My Car (Japan)
Flee (Denmark)
The Hand of God (Italy)
Lunana: A Yak in the Classroom (Bhutan)
The Worst Person in the World (Norway)
Robert Butler and Noah Darmon’s Predicted Winner: Drive My Car
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
Affairs of the Art (Joanna Quinn and Les Mills)
Bestia (Hugo Covarrubias and Tevo Díaz)
Boxballet (Anton Dyakov)
Robin Robin (Dan Ojari and Mikey Please)
The Windshield Wiper (Alberto Mielgo and Leo Sanchez)
Robert Butler and Noah Darmon’s Predicted Winner: Robin Robin (Dan Ojari and Mikey Please)
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Audible (Matt Ogens and Geoff McLean)
Lead Me Home (Pedro Kos and Jon Shenk)
The Queen of Basketball (Ben Proudfoot)
Three Songs for Benazir (Elizabeth Mirzaei and Gulistan Mirzaei)
When We Were Bullies (Jay Rosenblatt)
Robert Butler and Noah Damron’s Predicted Winner: The Queen of Basketball
BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT
Ala Kachuu — Take and Run (Maria Brendle and Nadine Lüchinger)
The Dress (Tadeusz Lysiak and Maciej Ślesicki)
The Long Goodbye (Aneil Karia and Riz Ahmed)
On My Mind (Martin Strange-Hansen and Kim Magnusson)
Please Hold (K.D. Dávila and Levin Menekse)
Robert Butler and Noah Damron’s Predicted Winner: The Long Goodbye
I hope Penelope Cruz pulls the upset. She’s amazing in parallel mothers. I agree with most of the others.
Branagh, Belfast; Kristen Stewart, Spencer; CODA, Picture; Cumberbatch, PoD; Ariana DeBose, WSS; Trot Cotsur, CODA; CODA, Screenplay; Dune, Cinema; Cruella, costume; Don’t Look Zip, Editing; WSS, prod, design; Encanto, score; No Time To Die, song; WSS, sound; Spider-Man, vis. fx; Encanto, an feature; Wind wiper, an short; Cruella, makeup.
I’m hoping Dune pulls some awards! And Shang- Chi? I didn’t even know they were nominated for anything. Rooting for that marvel movie too!
You are sleeping on Jessica Chastain
I agree with most of these, but I think Kristen Stewart is going to win for best actress.
Good predictions overall! I do think we may be guaranteed one upset. My No Guts No Glory pic there would either be in best documentary or international feature. I think it’s possible either Attica or Worst Person in the World could be the dark horses there
I haven’t seen many of these films yet, but given their receptions, I can agree with many of these choices. I think there might be a couple of upsets though, given some of the performances and the actors involved. I think Licorice Pizza will win best picture and Dune will win best cinematography. Villeneuve’s vision and anesthetic for his films have no rival right now. He works with some absolutely wonderful cinematographers. I would be absolutely shocked if Cruella didn’t win best costume.
Very reasoned pics: Here are mine:
Will win/what I want to win:
Picture: Power of the Dog/Licorice Pizza
Director: Jane Campion/Jane Campion
Actress: Jessica Chastain/Olivia Colman
Actor: Will Smith/Will Smith
Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose/Ariana DeBose
Supporting Actor: Tony Kotsur/Tony Kotsur
Original Screenplay: Licorice Pizza/Licorice Pizza
Adapted Screenplay: Power of the Dog/Drive my Car
Original Score: Power of the Dog/Power of the Dog
Original Song: Dos Oroguitas/Dos Oroguitas
Documentary: Flee/Summer of Soul
Editing: Power of the Dog/tick, tick…BOOM!
Sound: Dune/Dune
Animated: Flee/Mitchells vs the Machines
Cinematography: Power of the Dog/Dune
International Feature: Drive my Car
Visual Effects: Dune/Dune
Costume Design: West Side Story/West Side Story
Production Design: Dune/Nightmare Alley
Great article! Good pics! Time will tell!
I can’t believe you were right about Jessica Chastai! Good job!
Thank you so much for giving everyone a very superb possiblity to discover important secrets from this website. It’s always so good and as well , full of a lot of fun for me personally and my office colleagues to visit your web site not less than three times in 7 days to study the latest guidance you have got. And lastly, we are always happy with the sensational hints you serve. Selected two areas in this posting are undeniably the finest we have had.
Nice post. I study something more challenging on completely different blogs everyday. It would all the time be stimulating to read content material from different writers and practice a little bit something from their store. I抎 prefer to make use of some with the content material on my blog whether you don抰 mind. Natually I抣l provide you with a hyperlink on your internet blog. Thanks for sharing.
I in addition to my pals have been checking out the best things found on your web page while quickly I got a horrible suspicion I had not expressed respect to the blog owner for those secrets. The people happened to be for that reason glad to learn them and already have really been tapping into them. Appreciation for really being indeed accommodating and for considering certain superb guides millions of individuals are really desirous to learn about. My personal sincere apologies for not expressing gratitude to you sooner.
Needed to put you one very little word to finally give many thanks again with the splendid strategies you have contributed in this article. This has been certainly particularly open-handed with people like you to grant easily all many people would’ve sold for an e book to earn some bucks on their own, especially considering that you could possibly have done it if you ever decided. Those basics additionally acted to be a easy way to comprehend other people online have the same desire much like my personal own to realize a great deal more with regards to this condition. I know there are millions of more pleasurable situations up front for people who look over your site.
I have to get across my gratitude for your generosity in support of those people who absolutely need help on this one subject matter. Your personal commitment to passing the solution around has been exceptionally significant and has really encouraged guys just like me to get to their targets. Your insightful information indicates a whole lot a person like me and somewhat more to my office workers. Warm regards; from each one of us.
Thanks a lot for providing individuals with such a marvellous possiblity to check tips from this website. It is always very fantastic plus packed with fun for me personally and my office co-workers to visit your blog the equivalent of three times in 7 days to read the new items you have got. Of course, I am usually astounded considering the spectacular creative ideas served by you. Some 1 ideas on this page are rather the most beneficial I have had.
Thank you a lot for giving everyone an exceptionally nice possiblity to read critical reviews from this site. It is often so awesome and also packed with a good time for me and my office friends to visit your blog really 3 times every week to learn the newest tips you have got. And lastly, I’m just actually amazed with your eye-popping concepts served by you. Selected 1 areas in this post are in fact the most beneficial I’ve had.
Your house is valueble for me. Thanks!?
Needed to draft you that little observation to help thank you so much once again with your precious principles you have featured in this case. It’s simply extremely generous with people like you in giving without restraint exactly what a number of us would have advertised as an electronic book in making some cash on their own, especially considering the fact that you could have tried it in the event you considered necessary. Those good tips as well worked to become fantastic way to be sure that someone else have the identical eagerness really like my very own to grasp great deal more with respect to this issue. I think there are numerous more pleasurable opportunities up front for individuals who check out your website.
I discovered your weblog site on google and verify a few of your early posts. Proceed to maintain up the superb operate. I just further up your RSS feed to my MSN Information Reader. Searching for ahead to reading extra from you afterward!?
I discovered your blog website on google and examine a number of of your early posts. Continue to keep up the superb operate. I simply additional up your RSS feed to my MSN News Reader. Looking for forward to reading more from you later on!?
There are some fascinating closing dates in this article but I don抰 know if I see all of them center to heart. There is some validity however I will take hold opinion until I look into it further. Good article , thanks and we would like extra! Added to FeedBurner as nicely
I抎 must check with you here. Which isn’t one thing I usually do! I take pleasure in studying a submit that will make folks think. Also, thanks for allowing me to comment!
Youre so cool! I dont suppose Ive read anything like this before. So nice to find somebody with some authentic ideas on this subject. realy thank you for starting this up. this website is one thing that is needed on the net, somebody with a little bit originality. useful job for bringing something new to the web!
You made some respectable factors there. I appeared on the internet for the issue and located most individuals will go along with along with your website.
This is the right blog for anybody who needs to seek out out about this topic. You understand a lot its nearly hard to argue with you (not that I truly would want匟aHa). You definitely put a brand new spin on a topic thats been written about for years. Nice stuff, just nice!
WONDERFUL Post.thanks for share..more wait .. ?
I found your weblog website on google and test a number of of your early posts. Continue to maintain up the very good operate. I just extra up your RSS feed to my MSN Information Reader. In search of ahead to reading more from you in a while!?
Thanks for sharing. I read many of your blog posts, cool, your blog is very good.