Usually the Oscars are easy to predict by late December. However, this season is looking to be a more competitive contest. While Leonardo DiCaprio and Brie Larson are clear front-runners, most of the other categories remain a huge toss-up. “The Revenant” may seem like a front-runner at this point, for instance, you shouldn’t underestimate the “The Big Short” and “Spotlight”. This is one of the first years where the Best Picture contest could go three ways instead of two. Now with the ceremony approaching, Robert Butler weighs in on who will win, and who should have been nominated. The evening will be a very political and annoying one, hopefully the award-winners focus on their art instead of being didactic. Here are the the predictions.

Best Picture

The Big Short

Bridge of Spies

Brooklyn

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Room

Spotlight
Will Win: The Revenant
Could Win: The Big Short
Should Win: The Revenant
Should of Been Here: Anomalisa, Carol, Clouds of Sils Maria, The Hateful Eight

Best Director

Adam McKay, The Big Short

George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road

Alejandro G. Iñárritu, The Revenant

Lenny Abrahamson, Room

Tom McCarthy, Spotlight

 
Will Win: The Revenant, Alejandro G. Iñárritu
Could win: “Mad Max: Fury Road”, George Miller
Should Win: The Revenant, Alejandro G. Iñárritu
Should of Been Here: Olivier Assayas, “Clouds of Sils Maria”, Quentin Tarantino, “The Hateful Eight”, Todd Haynes “Carol”, Denis Villeneuve, “Sicario”

Best Actor

Bryan Cranston, Trumbo

Matt Damon, The Martian

Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant

Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs

Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

Will Win: Leonardo DiCaprio in “The Revenant”
Could Win: No Contest, Leo clear front-runner.
Should Win: Leonardo DiCaprio in “The Revenant”
Should of Been Here: Samuel L. Jackson in “The Hateful Eight”

Best Actress

Cate Blanchett, Carol

Brie Larson, Room

Jennifer Lawrence, Joy

Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years

Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

Will Win: Brie Larson, Room
Could Win: No Contest, Brire Larson is clear front-runner.
Should Win: Brie Larson, Room
Should of Been Here: Juliette Binoche, Clouds of Sils Maria

Best Supporting Actor

Christian Bale, The Big Short

Tom Hardy, The Revenant

Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight

Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies

Sylvester Stallone, Creed

Will Win: Sylvester Stallone, Creed
Could Win: Christian Bale, The Big Short
Should Win: Sylvester Stallone, Creed
Should of Been Here: Idris Alba, Beasts of No Nation,  Benecio Del Toro, Sicario

Best Supporting Actress

Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight

Rooney Mara, Carol

Rachel McAdams, Spotlight

Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl

Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

Will Win: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Could Win: Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

Should Win: Rooney Mara, Carol
Should of Been Here: Kristen Stewart, Clouds of Sils Maria, Alicia Vikander, Ex-Machina

Best Original Screenplay

Bridge of Spies

Ex Machina

Inside Out

Spotlight

Straight Outta Compton

Will Win: Spotlight
Could Win: Inside Out
Should Win: Inside Out
Should of Been Here: Clouds of Sils Maria, The Hateful Eight, Sicario

Best Adapted Screenplay

The Big Short

Brooklyn

Carol

The Martian

Room
Will Win: The Big Short
Could Win: Room
Should Win: Carol
Should of Been Here: 45 Years, Anomalisa

Best Animated Feature

Anomalisa

Boy and the World

Inside Out

Shaun the Sheep Movie

When Marnie Was There
Will Win: Inside Out
Could Win: Anomalisa
Should Win: Anomalisa
Should of Been Here: The Peanuts Movie

Best Foreign Language Film

Embrace of the Serpent

Mustang

Son of Saul

Theeb

A War
Will Win: Son of Saul
Could Win: Mustang
Should Win: Son of Saul
Should of Been Here: The Assassin, Girlhood, Phoenix

Best Documentary Feature

Amy

Cartel Land

The Look of Silence

What Happened, Miss Simone?

Winter on Fire: Ukraine’s Fight for Freedom

Will Win: Amy
Could Win: The Look of Silence
Should Win: Amy
Should of Been Here: Best of Enemies

Best Cinematography

Carol

The Hateful Eight

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Revenant

Sicario

Will Win: The Revenant
Could Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Should Win: The Revenant
Should of Been Here: The Assassin

Best Film Editing

The Big Short

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Revenant

Spotlight

Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Could Win: The Revenant
Should Win: The Revenant
Should of Been Here: Sicario

Best Production Design

Bridge of Spies

The Danish Girl

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant
Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Could Win: The Revenant
Should Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Should of Been Here: The Assassin

Best Costume Design

Carol

Cinderella

The Danish Girl

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Revenant

Will Win: Cinderella
Could Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Should Win: Cinderella
Should of Been Here: The Assassin

Best Original Score

Bridge of Spies

Carol

The Hateful Eight

Sicario

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Will Win: The Hateful Eight
Could Win: Bridge of Spies
Should Win: The Hateful Eight
Should of Been Here: The Revenant

Best Original Song

“Earned It,” 50 Shades Of Grey

“Manta Ray,” Racing Extinction

“Simple Song #3,” Youth

“Til It Happens to You,” The Hunting Ground

“Writing’s on the Wall,” Spectre

Will Win: “Writing’s on the Wall,” Spectre
Could Win: “Til It Happens to You,” The Hunting Ground
Should Win: “Writing’s on the Wall,” Spectre
Should of Been Here: “See You Again” by Wiz Khalifa ft. Charlie Puth

Best Visual Effects

Ex Machina

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Will Win: Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Could Win: Mad Max: Fury Road 
Should Win: Star Wars: The Force Awakens 
Should of Been Here: The Walk

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

Mad Max: Fury Road

The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out a Window and Disappeared

The Revenant

Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road 
Could Win: The Revenant
Should Win: The Revenant  
Should of Been Here: Black Mass, The Hateful Eight

Best Sound Mixing

Bridge of Spies

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road 
Could Win: Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Should Win: Star Wars: The Force Awakens  
Should of Been Here: Jurassic World

Best Sound Editing

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Sicario

Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road 
Could Win: Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Should Win: Star Wars: The Force Awakens  
Should of Been Here: Jurassic World

Best Documentary Short

Body Team 12

Chau Behind the Lines

Claude Lanzman

A Girl in the River

Last Day of Freedom

Will Win: Body Team 12

Best Live Action Short Film

Ave Maria

Day One

Everything Will Be Okay

Shok

Stutterer

Will Win: Ave Maria

Best Animated Short Film

Bear Story

Prologue

Sanjay’s Super Team

We Can’t Live Without Cosmos

World of Tomorrow

Will Win: Sanjay’s Super Team